Probability assessments for AEK Larnaca in the Conference League

Following a 0-0 draw in London against Crystal Palace, various statistical models have updated their projections for AEK Larnaca in the UEFA Conference League. Football Meets Data estimates AEK Larnaca has a 1% chance of winning the tournament and a 25% chance of advancing to the quarterfinals. In contrast, OptaAnalyst provides a more optimistic outlook, calculating a 4% probability for the club to win the title. Crystal Palace is currently considered the primary favorite to win the competition, holding a 22% probability according to these models. The decisive second leg is scheduled to take place at the AEK Arena on Thursday, March 19, 2026, starting at 19:45 local time.