Analysis of missile strike in Minab, Iran

On February 28, 2026, footage emerged showing a missile strike on an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) naval base in Minab, Iran. Experts and analysts, including those from Bellingcat, identified the projectile as a BGM or UGM-109 Tomahawk missile, a weapon system exclusive to the United States in this theater of operations. The strike occurred adjacent to the Shajareh Tayyiba elementary school, resulting in reported casualties estimated between 168 and 175 people, including 14 teachers. While Iranian state media and independent analyses suggest the US strike caused the collateral damage at the school, US President Donald Trump initially attributed the incident to an inaccurate Iranian missile. The Pentagon has officially stated that an investigation into the event is ongoing. Independent verification of the exact casualty figures remains difficult, but satellite imagery confirms significant damage to the school building occurring concurrently with the naval base strike.